Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.266267 0.313658 0.370064 0.443026 0.536206 0.653050 0.813650
2025-01-26 0.199639 0.258011 0.337001 0.455406 0.635392 0.911725 1.397626
2025-02-02 0.163393 0.225655 0.318276 0.474145 0.748543 1.255977 2.406101
2025-02-09 0.138825 0.201473 0.301673 0.486712 0.855888 1.666372 4.055872
2025-02-16 0.122122 0.184540 0.290569 0.502738 0.977137 2.209432 7.072970
2025-02-23 0.108699 0.169715 0.278620 0.511944 1.089407 2.851491 12.424125
2025-03-02 0.097663 0.156677 0.266494 0.516106 1.193244 3.607858 22.384770
2025-03-09 0.088074 0.144483 0.253151 0.512926 1.277254 4.435129 41.048885
2025-03-16 0.079391 0.132577 0.237941 0.500488 1.328169 5.234041 74.886022
2025-03-23 0.074591 0.127296 0.235358 0.519047 1.497421 7.054079 220.483994
2025-03-30 0.068224 0.118059 0.222535 0.506398 1.547091 8.312720 564.077992
2025-04-06 0.064132 0.112842 0.217737 0.515027 1.692636 10.886424 3715.494410
2025-04-13 0.059482 0.106032 0.208413 0.508550 1.775836 13.417496 109260.673395
2025-04-20 0.056421 0.102195 0.205537 0.521656 1.971908 18.734931 NaN
2025-04-27 0.054083 0.099607 0.205253 0.543520 2.245828 28.423720 NaN
2025-05-04 0.051628 0.096465 0.203038 0.558392 2.505989 42.825083 NaN
2025-05-11 0.049562 0.093943 0.202001 0.577559 2.831194 69.801940 NaN
2025-05-18 0.047364 0.090874 0.199010 0.588600 3.125265 113.114926 NaN
2025-05-25 0.045154 0.087545 0.194790 0.593597 3.390466 184.476632 NaN
2025-06-01 0.042861 0.083798 0.188861 0.589772 3.582372 290.534065 NaN
2025-06-08 0.040438 0.079530 0.180880 0.574831 3.652865 414.104780 NaN
2025-06-15 0.039282 0.078191 0.181183 0.597131 4.180006 1153.227754 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037205 0.074432 0.173840 0.581927 4.251334 1937.949282 NaN